Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.050656 0.055004 0.059404 0.064184 0.069222 0.074369 0.080015
2024-11-03 0.043937 0.050220 0.056794 0.064161 0.072162 0.080563 0.090025
2024-11-10 0.039086 0.046816 0.055153 0.064753 0.075447 0.086936 0.100158
2024-11-17 0.035427 0.044315 0.054166 0.065791 0.079029 0.093535 0.110529
2024-11-24 0.033716 0.043795 0.055234 0.069012 0.084990 0.102779 0.123920
2024-12-01 0.029365 0.039831 0.052031 0.067062 0.084844 0.104982 0.129281
2024-12-08 0.026347 0.037207 0.050180 0.066495 0.086137 0.108715 0.136313
2024-12-15 0.023851 0.035019 0.048678 0.066186 0.087609 0.112567 0.143433
2024-12-22 0.022868 0.034655 0.049345 0.068460 0.092147 0.120030 0.154821
2024-12-29 0.021497 0.033671 0.049143 0.069588 0.095244 0.125761 0.164173
2025-01-05 0.020172 0.032646 0.048804 0.070475 0.098000 0.131058 0.173013
2025-01-12 0.018372 0.030844 0.047345 0.069838 0.098782 0.133908 0.178875
2025-01-19 0.017272 0.029983 0.047125 0.070830 0.101683 0.139466 0.188198
2025-01-26 0.015727 0.028379 0.045820 0.070333 0.102645 0.142611 0.194582
2025-02-02 0.014604 0.027313 0.045186 0.070674 0.104652 0.147049 0.202576
2025-02-09 0.013769 0.026615 0.045014 0.071598 0.107395 0.152407 0.211730
2025-02-16 0.013733 0.027140 0.046574 0.074898 0.113287 0.161800 0.225994
2025-02-23 0.012094 0.025029 0.044254 0.072768 0.111926 0.161907 0.228577
2025-03-02 0.011016 0.023736 0.043051 0.072127 0.112499 0.164457 0.234220
2025-03-09 0.010104 0.022645 0.042090 0.071775 0.113422 0.167436 0.240403
2025-03-16 0.009946 0.022824 0.043041 0.074164 0.118092 0.175319 0.252898
2025-03-23 0.009504 0.022478 0.043166 0.075346 0.121106 0.181050 0.262664
2025-03-30 0.009033 0.022045 0.043131 0.076277 0.123769 0.186327 0.271869